Dr. Aneel Salman, Author at IPRI - Islamabad Policy Research Institute

Download Pakistan faces one of the largest tax gaps in South Asia. Despite repeated tax reforms, the tax-to-GDP ratio has remained stagnant, undermining fiscal stability and limiting the country’s capacity to achieve its development goals. This study investigates how Pakistan can address its…

Policy Brief by Dr. Aneel Salman 19/09/2025

20229Views

A Blueprint for Pakistan’s Bioeconomy: Turning Resources into Resilience

Download Agriculture contributes 24 percent to Pakistan’s national economy and employs 37.4 percent of the workforce. Despite this strong agricultural base, the bioeconomy’s share in national output remains among the lowest globally. This shows a wide gap between the available bioeconomy resources and…

Policy Brief by Dr. Aneel Salman 02/09/2025

19627Views

U.S. Tariffs, Regional Competition, and Pakistan’s Export Strategy in a Post-Free Trade Era

Download Since 1776, Adam Smith’s theory of absolute advantage has remained central to modern economic thought on international trade. Over time, however, its universal validity has been increasingly contested due to recurring trade imbalances, asymmetrical distribution of trade gains across nations, and instances…

Policy Brief by Dr. Aneel Salman 28/08/2025

19063Views

Balancing Cost, Security, and Diplomacy: The Pakistan-US Oil Deal in Context

Download Pakistan has secured its crude oil import deal with the United States, marking a significant shift in its energy procurement strategy. This policy brief assesses the strategic, economic, and geopolitical implications of the U.S. deal compared to oil imports from traditional suppliers.…

Policy Brief by Dr. Aneel Salman 31/07/2025

17989Views

Textual Insights into Fiscal Narratives: An Analytical Study of Pakistan’s Federal Budgets (2010-2024)

Download This Brief conducts a systematic analysis of Pakistan’s federal budget documents from 2010 to 2024 using a text mining approach. Despite significant shifts in domestic and global economic conditions, the focus of these documents has remained on recurring economic challenges such as…

Policy Brief by Dr. Aneel Salman 31/07/2025

18058Views

Does Pakistan have an option other than the IMF?

Download Pakistan received USD7 billion in the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) in the 25th arrangement of the IMF. Since independence, Pakistan has received financial assistance from the IMF twenty-five times, resulting in temporary short-term stability. However, the austerity measures proposed by these programs…

Policy Brief by Dr. Aneel Salman 11/07/2025

16657Views

Implications of a Premature Trade Liberalisation in Pakistan

Download This Policy Brief explores the implications of a premature trade liberalisation in Pakistan. It highlights that Pakistan’s economy faces recurring balance of payments crises, foreign exchange shortages, limited export diversification, and weak domestic demand. Collectively, these structural vulnerabilities pose a significant risk…

PAPER by Dr. Aneel Salman 27/06/2025

17474Views

Determinants of Undocumented Oil Trade in Pakistan: A Multinomial Logit Approach

Download This study examines the underlying factors driving the persistence of Undocumented Oil Trade (UOT) in Pakistan, with a particular focus on the Pakistan-Iran border region. It argues that, despite a series of policy interventions by the Government of Pakistan, UOT remains a…

PAPER by Dr. Aneel Salman 27/06/2025

15850Views

An Anatomy of Pakistan’s Exchange Rate Regime

Download Proponents of a free-floating or market-driven ER regime have argued that distortionary CB interventions in the foreign exchange (FX) market alter the ER trajectory. Historically, evidence shows such interventions result in ER misalignment, eventually leading to the widening of the trade deficits…

Policy Brief by Dr. Aneel Salman 20/06/2025

15493Views

Realising the Promise of Service-Led Growth in Pakistan

Download This study examines the potential of Pakistan’s service sector to drive economic growth as the country faces declining manufacturing growth rates. As this shift aligns with global trends, the paper builds a case to confront structural and administrative inefficiencies within four key…

Behavioural Responses to Taxation and Laffer Curve: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

A Blueprint for Pakistan’s Bioeconomy: Turning Resources into Resilience

U.S. Tariffs, Regional Competition, and Pakistan’s Export Strategy in a Post-Free Trade Era

Balancing Cost, Security, and Diplomacy: The Pakistan-US Oil Deal in Context

Textual Insights into Fiscal Narratives: An Analytical Study of Pakistan’s Federal Budgets (2010-2024)

Does Pakistan have an option other than the IMF?

Implications of a Premature Trade Liberalisation in Pakistan

Determinants of Undocumented Oil Trade in Pakistan: A Multinomial Logit Approach

An Anatomy of Pakistan’s Exchange Rate Regime

Realising the Promise of Service-Led Growth in Pakistan

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